MSTR & The Bitcoin Cycle: My Predictions for the Next Bull Run and Beyond

I started writing this on Nov 4th... But I stopped and didn’t finish it, why? Because I didn’t want to be another after the fact “told you so”.

I want The Net Worth Club to tell you, BEFORE stocks move, not after. Everyone and their dog has talked MSTR after the fact.

Unfortunately, or, fortunately, on Nov 4th was $225 when I took this screenshot and began writing this article.

It had already doubled, and I think I just saw it pop too much afterward and really didn’t want to be another late to the party writer; not thinking it would continue to rip like this:

But such is life, and such is investing!

Oftentimes, when stocks break out, they come back to test support levels before moving higher.

With MSTR, this hasn’t happened yet; it’s just kept going up, up, and away...

I’ve always liked crypto.

Back in 2013, I had calls with the founders of CoinPayments, Alex and Cena, exploring ways to get involved in the industry.

I spoke with Anthony DiIorio who at the time had just taken a new advisory role with the TSX.

I also attended underground Bitcoin and Ethereum meetups under Granville Street in Vancouver, where groups were discussing overthrowing the government and conspiracy theories. I always thought it was a little too far-fetched, so I never really entered with much size. (Ironically, on that date, ETH was $0.73.)

We all have similar stories though.

And we all know what BTC has done, and we all know the volatility it sparks.

The way I’m playing, though, is simple; sort of, although, it’s just hard to execute.

Every cycle has been the same: 500 days before halving, BTC bottoms, it then halves, then 500 days after, it peaks. BTC then pulls back approximately 75% from said peak and the cycle continues.

That means from April 2024, when BTC halved, that five hundred days before that was November 2022…

Do you remember what happened in November 2022?

Well, on November 9, 2022, Bitcoin's value dropped to approximately $15,760, marking one of its lowest points for the year.

Now, 500 days after the halving of 2024 puts us in August 2025, when I think we’ll be north of $270,000.

This would be my exit from MSTR, if I owned some, and from all crypto.

I think we’ll then have a pullback post-August that takes us down 75% from that peak to approximately $67,500–$70,000.

That would be my re-entry point, so long as it coincides with the halving timing—or about 500 days before the next halving, projected to take place around March 23, 2028 which takes us to November 2026.

As with any “trade,” I don’t go all-in right away; I stage it. So, I’d start buying at either that price or during that time frame.

So I’ll be out in August 2025, and look to re-enter in November 2026.

That’s my prediction for when we’ll see $67,500–$70,000, alongside some crazy political and financial events that will have us trading at those levels, out of favor.

Bitcoin will temporarily be forgotten about; and that’s when we strike.

We can revisit this article to see how right or wrong I am, but that’s my prediction.

September 1, 2025, I’ll be completely out, and in November 2026, I’ll be buying.

Hopefully, some of this helps.

Again, these are just my thoughts and not investment advice, but I’m excited to see where it goes.

As I plan to revisit this article, I want to make one last prediction: after the 2028 halving, by approximately 500 days (+/- 30 days), we’ll see BTC over $1.3 million.

That puts us into August of 2029.

I plan to own a lot of BTC on the next pullback in late 2026, when no one else wants it.

With strong hands, I think we can make a lot of money here. We’ll see how it goes!

Happy Hunting!